经济参考报：欧美制造业缓慢复苏但风险犹存

2020年伊始，欧美制造业出现缓慢复苏迹象。

欧元区最大的经济体德国1月制造业PMI录得45.3，较前值45.2继续回升。Markit在公布这一数据的报告中称：“德国制造业显示出更多继续复苏的迹象，PMI攀升至11个月以来最高水平。这一数据来自于新订单和出口销售的企稳。尽管如此，产量、存储和就业等数据仍处于收缩状态，表明制造业尚未走出困境。”

欧盟委员会公布的月度调查显示，欧元区19国1月经济景气指数从去年12月的101.5升至102.8，高于路透调查的经济学家平均预期的101.8。这一改善是由工业信心上升推动的。IHS Markit首席经济学家克里斯·威廉姆森表示，随着整个欧元区的信心普遍改善，对产出增长的预期也跃升至2018年8月以来的最高水平，尤其是德国的信心出现了尤为重要的好转。

参考译文

At the beginning of 2020, there are signs of slow recovery in European and American manufacturing industry.

Germany, the largest economy in euro zone, recorded its PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) at 45.3 in January, which experienced a slight recovery from the previous value of 45.2. Markit suggested that German manufactur-ing is showing signs recovery, with PMI climbing to its highest level in the past 11 months. This data comes from the stabilization of new orders and export sales. Nonetheless, production, storage and employment data are still contracting, indicating that the manufacturing industry is not out of the woods yet.

The monthly survey released by the European Commission showed that the economic sentiment index of the 19 countries in the euro zone rose to 102.8 in January from 101.5 in December last year, which was higher than the average forecast of 101.8 by economists surveyed by Reuters. This improvement was driven by rising industrial confidence. Chris Williamson, chief economist at HIS Markit, said that as confidence in euro area generally improves, expectations for output growth have jumped to their highest level since August 2018, especially in Germany.

▎来源：经济参考报

原标题：《干货 | 经济参考报：欧美制造业缓慢复苏但风险犹存》