通货紧缩的定义、度量及对当前经济形势的判断

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[1] 卞志村,张义. 央行信息披露,实际干预与通胀预期管理[J]. 经济研究,2012(12)

[2] 崔百胜. 基于动态模型平均的中国通货膨胀实时预测[J]. 数量经济技术经济研究,2012(7)

[3] 黄志凌. 中国经济是否存在通货紧缩[R].“2014中国金融论坛·青年论坛”,2014年12月14日

[5] 郑挺国,王霞,苏娜. 通货膨胀实时预测及菲利普斯曲线的适用性[J]. 经济研究,2012(3)

[6] 周小川. 新世纪以来中国货币政策主要特点[J]. 中国金融,2013(2)

[7] Atkeson,A. and P. Kehoe. Deflation and Depression:Is There and Empirical Link?[J]. American Economic Review,2004,94(2):99-103

[8] BIS. 84th BIS Annual Report[R]. June,2014

[9] Bordo,M. and A. Filardo. Deflation and Monetary Policy in a Historical Perspective[J]. Economic Policy,2005,20(44):799-844

[10] Borio,C.,M. Erdem,A. Filardo and B. Hofmann. The Costs of deflation:A Historical Perspective[R]. BIS Quarterly Review,March,2015

[11] Christiano,L.,M. Eichenbaum and C. Evans. Monetary Shocks:What Have We Learned,and to What End?[M]. In Handbook of Macroeconomics,Vol. 1A,Taylor,B. and M. Woodford (ed.),1999:65-148

[12] Cociuba,S.,M. Shukayey and A. Ueberfeldt. Do Low Interest Rates Sow the Seeds of Financial Crises?[R]. Bank of Canada Working Papers,No. 2011-31,2011

[13] Economist. A New Danger[J]. The Economist,Feb. 20 th -26 th ,1999

[14] Eggertsson,G. How to Fight Deflation in a Liquidity Trap[R]. IMF Working Paper,2003

[15] Friedman,M. The Role of Monetary Policy[J]. American Economic Review,1968,58(1):1-17

[16] IMF. Deflation Determinants,Risks,and Policy Options:Findings of An Interdepartmental Task Force[R]. IMF Occasional Paper, No.221,2003

[17] Krugman,P. It’s Baaack!Japan’s Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap[R]. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity,1998,29(2):137-206

[18] Laidler,D. Deflation[M]. In The New Palgrave Dictionary of Money and Finance(A-E),Newman,P.,M. Milgate and J. Eatwell(ed.),London and New York:Macmillan and Stockton,1992:588-590

[19] Lucas,R. Expectations and the Neutrality of Money[J]. Journal of Economic Theory,1972,4(2):103-124

[20] Mishkin,F. Estimating Potential Output[R]. Speech at the Conference on Price Measurement for Monetary Policy,Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas,May 24 th ,2007

[21] Sims,C.,J. Stock,and M. Watson. Inference in Linear Time Series Models with Some Unit Roots[J]. Econometrica,1990,58(1):113-144

[22] Stock,J. and Watson,M. Forecasting Inflation[J]. Journal of Monetary Economics,1999,44(2):293-335

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[24] Taylor,J. Housing and Monetary Policy[R]. Paper for the Symposium on Housing,Housing Finance,and Monetary Policy,Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City,Economic Symposium Conference Proceedings,2007:463-476

[25] Taylor,J. The Role of Policy in the Great Recession and the Weak Recovery[J]. American Economic Review,2014,104(5):61-66

[26] Woodford,M. Interest and Prices:Foundations of a Theory of Monetary Policy[M]. Princeton University Press,2003

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[28] Yellen,J. Normalizing Monetary Policy:Prospects and Perspectives[R]. Speech at the New Normal Monetary Policy Research Conference,San Francisco,Mar.,27 th ,2015

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