印度对石油燃料需求增速将降至6年来低点

原标题：印度对石油燃料需求增速将降至6年来低点

中国石化新闻网讯 据彭博新闻社12月20日新德里报道，由于经济衰退，印度预计其石油消费将以6年来最慢的速度增加。

印度石油部石油规划与分析小组在其估算中表示，在截至2020年3月的财年中，印度的石油产品消费量预计将增长1.3%，至2.16亿吨。这是2013年至2014年期间石油产品需求增长0.9%以来的最低水平，当时原油均价在每桶100美元以上。

石油产品消费增长放缓反映了印度国内从汽车到房屋等商品需求的普遍下滑。印度经济增长已处于6年来低点，最新数据显示，印度10月份工业生产连续第3个月收缩，主要受生产资料、基础设施和建筑材料等能源密集型行业的拖累。

12月早些时候，惠誉国际把印度2020年石油需求增长预期从此前的5%下调到了3%，原因是印度未来几个季度的经济增长前景较弱。国际能源署预计，到2040年，印度将成为全球增长最快的石油消费国，预计今年印度的石油需求增长将放缓至每日14.5万桶，到2020年将回升至每日18万桶。

印度公共政策委员会(PPAC)的数据显示，印度柴油消费增速预计将降至0.9%，为6年来的最低水平。柴油是印度消耗最多的石油燃料，也是印度制造业、运输业和农业的命脉。

李峻 编译自 彭博社

原文如下：

India’s appetite for petroleum fuels to drop to 6-year low

India expects its oil consumption to expand at the slowest pace in six years as the economy sputters.

The nation’s consumption of petroleum products in the financial year to March 2020 is expected to rise by 1.3 per cent to 216 million tonnes, the oil ministry’s Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell said in its estimates. That’s the slowest since the 0.9 per cent demand growth in 2013-14, when crude oil averaged over $100 a barrel.

Slowing consumption growth reflects a widespread slump in demand for goods from cars to houses. India’s economic growth is at a six-year low and latest data show the country’s industrial production contracted for a third straight month in October, mainly dragged down by energy-intensive industries such as capital goods, infrastructure and construction goods.

Earlier this month, Fitch Solutions slashed its 2020 forecast for India’s oil demand growth to 3 per cent from an earlier estimate of 5 per cent because of weaker economic growth prospects in the coming quarters. The International Energy Agency, which expects the country to be the fastest-growing oil consumer through 2040, expects India’s demand growth to slow to 145,000 barrels a day in 2019 and recover to 180,000 barrels in 2020.

Consumption of diesel, the most-consumed petroleum fuel and the lifeblood of Indian manufacturing, transport and agriculture, is estimated to grow at the slowest pace in six years at 0.9 per cent, according to the PPAC.